If you are reading this, then you went ahead and proceeded after the Security Warning or I have already fixed the problem. Wouldn’t you know that my certificate expired right when I went on my trip.
I suppose that I could probably try to fix this remotely but it is a lot to do when I am at home. So, I will wait. I am going to do my best to proceed as if everything is working like it is supposed to.
This is one of those things that I do not understand. Every couple of months my security certificate expires and I have to generate a new one. It happens infrequently enough that I always have to fiddle around to make it work. I don’t understand why and it really seems like amateur hour to me. Surely not everyone goes through this process. Maybe it has to do with my ‘free’ certificate that comes from hosting?
I live with it because spending more on hosting for no real return doesn’t make a lot of sense. Someday when I make it big that will change. Thanks for hanging in there.
It seems like I never stop whining about not having time to do anything. The reason is choices of course. My choices are erroring on the side of getting stuff done and if you remember I am staining the deck? Well, that is still going on. My weekdays go like this.
Wakeup and go to work.
When work is completed, clean-up the mess in the kitchen and start dinner.
When Dinner is completed, go outside and stain the deck.
Repeat.
It is number three that has me occupied. This was something that I wanted to do last year but I ran out of weather to do it. I figured that I could do this in a couple of weeks, but I am finding that it is taking much more time than I had guessed. One, I have never worked with an oil based deck stain before. Two, I am spending an hour or two a night so not much productivity per session.
Maybe I should enlist my natural labor force (family)? I am going to talk about this in my next podcast but I actually enjoy the solitary labor. I can turn off my brain and just focus on the task at hand. It really seems like my Zen time, I look forward to it. I would love it if they would help but that would deny the summer pool parties and standing tennis practice.
Life is like being in a tide. If you are going with it then you are making double progress but if you are trying to go against it, it is a struggle. The tide is like the school year. There is the schedule when it is in session and the schedule when it is not. While I have traded the tennis matches and award ceremonies for summer jobs and personal activities, one isn’t better than the other, it is just different.
It won’t be long and summer will be over. We are more than halfway through June which means the fourth of July is over the horizon. Then I will have an exchange student for month and then my wife leaves for Europe. By the time she returns, my other son will be leaving for Taiwan. Just looking at my calendar, this is likely the only thing I will get done this year.
By no means am I saying that I am not feeling the pressure. But what I am saying is that I am enjoying my time while I can. I think that is the true rhythm of summer. It is not endless, but making the most of what there is.
End Your Programming Routine: I am cutting this relatively short due to the fact that I have to get back out to the deck. Not really but kind of. As I write this, I am on the way to getting my son to a doctor’s appointment for his Visa application to Taiwan. Despite the fact that I am in Minneapolis this week, all I can think of getting back home to keep working on getting this project finished.
I thought I was getting ahead and then a couple of days go by and pretty soon, I am staring at the eight ball. I am gone this week for travel and my tank is a little empty. That being said, I will do the best I can to keep up this week.
The trigger for this post was something another podcaster said. All of the sudden, I was taken back to a particular day and time. Hence, I am talking about a particular bill that was signed in 1996. Who knew what happened then would have such wide ranging impact today.
End Your Programming Routine: From my fatalist point of view, it doesn’t do much good to wonder what if. But really, what if? It is interesting to take a look at something that did so much good and bad at the same time. That is probably the definition of just a thing. It is neither good nor bad, it just is what it is.
I have to say that I don’t totally get the book. I find that it is a slow moving story that may or may not have deeper context. I guess that I will save my analysis for the final book review, but right now I am having my doubts. It feels like we are stretching a bit to make it something that it is not.
This might say more about me than the book but I am struggling with the significance of the book. For that reason, I am finding myself looking at other people’s analysis of the story. I don’t really like to do that because it influences my opinions and analysis of each chapter.
Most of this chapter is the contents at the required general assembly. Ralph is trying to assert that people are not meeting their commitments. Without order, they run the risk of not being able to be seen and ultimately get rescued. I don’t believe that type of organization and cooperation is really within their level of comprehension. There is also an undercurrent of some unseen beast that is causing panic and fear.
Having read several analysis of this chapter, it seems like there is more and more importance of the beast. Of course, I would know for sure, plus have my own opinion if I had read this before. But let’s say that is true for now and let’s focus this week on the beast. From Merriam-Webster:
a four-footed mammal as distinguished from a human being, a lower vertebrate, and an invertebrate
a lower animal as distinguished from a human being
an animal as distinguished from a plant
an animal under human control
a contemptible person
something formidably difficult to control or deal with
Do you know how polarizing works? Well it gets into chemistry and physics but for the simplicity of this discussion, lets say polarizing is a form of filtering based on how the device you are looking through is constructed. Have you ever flipped your polarized glasses 90 degrees and couldn’t see a screen? That is the filtering that occurs.
What does polarizing and beasts have in common? Well, it is the filtering of the definitions within the book. So far, we don’t know if there is a beast. But, I think that it is certainly implied that the beast is some kind of scary creature. One of the children even says that it comes from the ocean at night.
It is still early in the story development but from the second definition, I think that the readers are still trying to identify which characters might be the contemptible person. Most people probably feel like Ralph is trying to do the right thing and execute the consensus decisions. Whereas Jack seems to move to his own desires. At least on the surface and from the way the story is going, Jack might be the beast. He is also doing a lot of sneaking around in the bushes ‘hunting’.
As a quick aside here. It is my observation that people often agree to things that they don’t actually have conviction to execute. This is particularly true in a public setting like a meeting or a gathering. Countless times as a group leader I would propose solutions or changes that ostensibly were approved only to have nobody execute.
The third definition is the most interesting and I believe the foreshadowing that all of the online analysis are referring to. Fear is primarily born of ignorance. The kids are in a very unenviable position of being stranded on an island without resources and very few skills. There is also the silent battle between Jack and Ralph that is visible to everyone else. Other themes seem probably too mature but nuclear war going on would be one as well.
Since it is graduation time going on, we attended a graduation party this weekend. It was a partial excuse to get together as a family and spend the night at the beach. We hung out, had a fire, drank too much etc. This was the same family that two years ago, we were explicitly not invited to spend time with if we did not have vaccination cards. Whether I did or didn’t, I told my wife that I was not going to go at that time. My stance is pretty clear on the issue but I didn’t like the implications. My how things have changed.
My point was fear is what drove that behavior. The beast, i.e. Covid was raging and all the children were having nightmares. At the center of it all, they are good people. But, good intent and appropriate response, especially when there is ignorance involved are two different things. Ultimately, I cant blame people for not being able to detect truth and lies. A story for another day but they have been believing lies for the whole thirty years I have known them. In that sense, it is forgivable because they are just not capable of analyzing critical data.
The Beast brought great fear in 2020-2. It brought nightmares and irrational behavior. Even as ridiculous as choosing between doing nothing or something that doesn’t work, brought near hysteria. Except for the fact that some people seem to have PTSD from the situation and still are wearing masks, now that we have been ‘rescued’ that has all been forgotten. If I think about it too long, it drives me crazy.
In no way am I saying that I don’t have bias. I absolutely have strong bias. I like to think that presented all of the facts, I could analyze that data and change my opinion. The problem is that all data also has bias as well. Any proper analysis has to consider the source, the intent and the content as well. Vaccinations weren’t a left/right issue, as both were requiring them. It was a freedom and who stands to gain issue.
End Your Programming Routine: This is the life of a true scientist; the science is never settled. That is why there are very few laws in science. They are endlessly fighting about bias and minutia. Fighting only stops when the other side gives up or there is no way to execute an experiment that proves otherwise. Only when we prove the beast does not exist will we collectively accept it. To do that, we will burn the island down. And even when everything is wasted, some people still don’t believe it.
We all have heard the saying that ‘ignorance is bliss’. There is also a point where you can know enough about something that there is conflicting information. What I am talking about today should not be the case.
As a trap coach, I have literally observed thousands of rounds of ammunition shot in a season. I see different equipment and I see different brands of ammunition used weekly. Traditionally, our team secures an ammunition grant which we provide to the team for practice and games. Each shooter needs to provide their own ammunition for the scored rounds.
As such, the ammunition that we use for practice we have a periodic failure to fire. I am not sure what the problem actually is. But, it has happened with nearly every shooter. We could say that there is some variable with that particular brand that is a problem.
In the great ammunition shortage that we have been in for the last couple of seasons, it has been difficult to consistently obtain shotgun shells. I participated in a bulk buy of some Italian ammunition that my kids have been shooting through. Two of the three shotguns that we have been using have shot it just fine. One was having misfires every three rounds.
This particular shotgun is what I would call my ‘back-up’. It is one that was fitted for my son on his first season as a 8th grader. He shot all fall and some into the spring with no problems. He decided to purchase his own shotgun by the end of the season and so I put it away.
Meanwhile, I bought an adjustable stock for my primary shotgun so that my younger son could shoot in the fall. I only brought out my backup because I was having problems keeping the adjustable stock tight. This is when the problems started happening with the Italian ammunition.
One coach was saying the firing pin spring, so I took it all apart. I saw nothing wrong, but I cleaned and lubricated everything and went to try again. I had the same problem. I watched some videos and again saw nothing wrong. But when I was reading problems on forums, I saw something that caught my eye, an out of tolerance chamber.
For those that don’t know, a chamber belongs to a barrel. I purchased this barrel for my backup shotgun because my shotgun only came with a fixed choke, 18″ barrel. It was not suitable for trap. And, not only that but this was an aftermarket barrel that I only paid $70 new. A factory replacement is $250, nearly the price of a new shotgun.
I surmised that the problem was this ammunition with this barrel. I took it to the range last weekend with the original barrel on it and fired five different brands of ammunition without fail. It is definitely the chamber. It seems to fire fine with certain brands of ammunition but not the stuff that I have cases of. So, now, I am not really sure what I want to do.
Clearly the best resolution would be to get a factory replacement barrel and move on. Do I really need to do this? What if I just stuck to brands of ammunition that worked consistently? And, this is a back-up shotgun, do I even need to do anything? For now, the season is mostly over and I am going to do nothing at the moment.
End Your Programming Routine: The reason that I bring this up is that you need to know the limitations of your equipment. Failures in the trap field are frustrating and embarrassing. Failures when you life is on the line are deadly. I only gained the knowledge that I did by being around a lot of different variables frequently. To solve problems, you have to start eliminating variables in a controlled manner. I feel confident that this shotgun is reliable, just not for trap with the ammunition I have and the barrel that I have.
I was thinking about how to say this but the number one thing that I value is value. I know that is ill written but I think that you get what I mean. It is the reason why I have never leased a car. There are reasons to do it, but none of them actually fit into my life. Consequently, the smartest thing to do is buy a car and drive it until it doesn’t make sense anymore like too many repairs, too frequently.
On our Memorial Day fishing excursion, the tail light fell out. The plastic has become brittle and broke. I knew last fall that there was a problem, I guess I didn’t think that it would just fall out. Sometimes I don’t realize problems until they happen even though the warning signs were visible. That is called experience, now I know.
I wanted to order a new taillight since the plastic is brittle. It makes more sense than buying a used one with likely the same problem. Guess what, finding a new taillight assembly is nearly impossible on a thirteen year old car. It turns out that there is not enough market demand I guess.
At one time, I was doing work for the company that makes carbon fiber layups for the F-22. They told me that they only make enough to satisfy orders and once that order was closed, they will never make another part again. That means that the parts that exist are the only parts that will ever exist. On one hand, that kind of makes sense because how many body parts on an F-22 will ever be replaced?
Also during Memorial weekend, my wife wanted oatmeal for breakfast. Her version is boiling in milk which I hate to do. Primarily because it often burns on the bottom of the pan but I also forgot that milk has a tendency to quickly boil over. Of course I was distracted with all of the breakfast tasks and that happened. So, now I had to take the stove apart to clean up the mess.
I so happens that this range is a 1990s vintage. It has been well used and in fact there are also irreplaceable parts on it as well. Even the burner cassettes are no longer for sale. The appliance repair guy told me that they have to rebuild them because they cannot get replacement parts. Spilling milk and wort on them does not help.
Better is clearly a matter of perspective. Plastic taillight assemblies make the overall vehicle lighter and therefore more fuel efficient (maybe even safer). That is better, but it doesn’t make them more durable. I suppose electric ranges are going toward induction or instant heating as a technology. But induction doesn’t work with aluminum so no canning for me and that is not better. I would dearly like gas but that makes this change a $20,000 endeavor because we would have to run a connection. Plus, how would the climate change warriors feel about that switch?
Every since Eli Whitney pioneered interchangeable parts, it has helped productivity. It helps build things faster and more reliable and makes the cost ultimately go down. That model starts to break down when parts are no longer interchangeable because they don’t work with all things. Those of course are negatives to manufacturers. When parts become commodities then there is little margin or incentive to innovate.
As complex things age, they start to break down. This of course is a negative when you are multiple model numbers removed because most people will replace things rather than repair them. Or if you are leasing something like a car, you don’t even care because you never have anything less than current. Intellectually, I understand the landscape but it is a bitter pill to swallow when you are looking to play the value game.
A couple of things to consider here. First make sure that you are taking care of your stuff. Things like routine maintenance and cleaning go a long way to making expensive items last. Second, look to buy the most popular models. Part of my taillight problem is a limited number of Navigators were produced. Look for the non-limited edition models for longer term support.
I suppose the older I get, the more crochety I get about change. If I had never had the ability to can on my range, I would have looked for a different solution from the beginning. Ultimately, I could use a propane burner or some other mechanism if I have to but why would I compromise from the start?
End Your Programming Routine: This is a place where I really can’t fight the system. I am not going to change how car parts or appliances are made. But it is also a warning sign. There will come a day when I can’t work around all of the problems. It would be better to think through what my potential options are now while I still have time to plan and react rather that after something is broken. We have a little shopping of both, I don’t really like the price ranges so I am crossing my fingers that things can hold on.
The last thing that I wanted to finish last year was staining the deck. If you recall, I spent the majority of the summer fixing the siding and facia. We paid for a new fence and a hand railing on the deck to replace the ailing, plastic deck railing. When it was first completed, we were in Spain. I wanted to give it some time to dry out and then I got involved in my siding project.
I built this deck in 2007. The lattice frames I cut out of the old cedar deck. Other than replacing a panel here or there, that is about all I have done. I saved the larger offcuts of the lattice for future work. So, when I did some maintenance, I found a suitable scrap to fit the hole and away I went.
I an effort to get everything spic and span for staining, it was time to fix some of the panels that need repair. I am now at a place that I have run out of spares. So, I thought that I would run out and pick up a new panel for replacement. Talk about sticker shock. I know that it has been a while, but I am pretty sure that I paid $15 a panel for lattice the last time I purchased 3/4″ cedar lattice. I am seeing $80 a panel.
Then, it came to me, I have a stapler, planer and cedar. Why don’t I just mill some pieces to replace what is broken? After all, lattice is nothing more than strips of cedar stapled together. And so that is what I set out to do.
I spent a couple of hours on a Sunday afternoon making some replacement strips. Of course, I made more than I needed. I don’t want to have to do this again too soon. They really do stand out like a sore thumb, but then again, so would a whole new panel. In my view, this is probably the lesser of two evils.
Another added advantage is that now I had the stapler out, I could re attach other loose strips as well. At least potentially, that will prevent other strips from breaking loose from the grid. All told, I probably had four hours into the operation. Granted, some of it was reorganizing the firewood pile and tiding up unrelated messes in the shop to work.
Economically, this move doesn’t really make sense. At least the only way it does is if I do not value my time. I was already at the store looking at lattice, with the intent to buy. So, I had already sunk that time. The only part of it that really does is environmentally. I took wood from the burn pile and reused it in a place that I needed it. That also means that I didn’t throw away the old lattice, I didn’t have waste cuts from the new lattice either.
This would have been a poor decision as a contractor. But, since I am not I can justify it by saying to myself that I didn’t spend $80. I didn’t have to handle an unwieldly 4×8′ sheet. I could repair everything in place and I put to work all of these high dollar tools I own. I built some spare strips for the future.
The decision to build or repair is a simple equation. You put together a simple pros / cons list. The winner is the one that favors one side or the other. But, it is way more complicated than that because you have to include want. And want is not governed by pros and cons. So, in my case here the pros would have been to buy the panel but I wanted to fix the strips rather than the whole thing. To me, it justified my capability to do so.
End Your Programming Routine: There is a time when repair is more economical than replacement. That is a time when what is being worked with is not replicable. The other situation is that the preponderance of the scope of work is small in compared to the overall scale. That is a little cryptic but assume that one dining room chair needs work and a replacement is not available. It wouldn’t make sense to replace the whole set, just the chair that needs repair. If the cost of the repair is high but cheaper than replacing all the chairs, then it is certainly worth it.
The original title of this was going to be ‘From Population 20,000 to Gotham City’. But I actually forgot when I went to do the editing. I also forgot to bring up why I was going to call it that title because I was disrupted a few times including 6 hours in between. Oh well, so I stayed pretty much on topic.
End Your Programming Routine: This is a complicated problem. I think that if previous implementations had worked, then we would be well on our way to solving the problem and I would be in support of the project. Given that micro shelters have really not worked, I am not really for doing something rather than nothing in this case. I strongly feel like this will concentrate the problem without any real results. But, I say my peace in the podcast, so listen to that.
This might be one of those chapters that if I had pre-read the book or kept reading before writing that I might lump together with another chapter. From the descriptions of clothes, dress and hair the kids have already been on the island for some time. There is no real mark of time, just that things are frazzled and raggedy.
Clearly, the significant event of the chapter is that Jack and hunters finally managed to kill a pig. This action emboldens Jack and company to display a superiority complex over the others. This activity of course comes at a price. The hunters apparently let the signal fire go out and apparently missed a chance to be rescued by a ship on the horizon.
Last chapter I was talking about everybody doing their own thing and how much I actually support that. It would seem that not all the boys share the same goals on the island. For some it is to ultimately get rescued while others it is to survive. For the hunters, it appears that it is the pursuit of the hunt. Even last chapter, Jack said that he would prefer to kill a pig before getting rescued.
Now, I guess that I would call myself a hunter. I try to make a half-hearted attempt every year. I really don’t like the killing part. I remember my first deer, it was really emotional and not the jubilation type. Of course I was happy, but then I was sad too. A more mature person might say that it was reality. Very rarely is an event all one thing.
To me, it is about continuing tradition, getting out in the woods and pretending that I might fit into the hunter category. A good day would be to say that I saw five deer and believing that it was just not my day rather than I didn’t put in the work in the off-season to be continuously successful.
But the truth is, I am not hungry. My freezer has stuff in it and my bank account is not empty. I might feel differently if I was on the edge of hunger or only eating fruits for months on end. My neighbor exclusively eats wild game. They are in the woods a lot and typically get bear, deer and elk in a season.
There are parts of me that admire that but I just don’t have the time in my life to live that way. Plus, I am not a gambler. I don’t want to be in a position that I ‘must’ punch my tag or go without. The safe bet for me is to buy a quarter steer in the spring and appreciate an extra bounty during hunting season if it happens. Plus, I paid less for the beef than they did in fuel by a long way. That’s OK if it is also your primary pastime, I am not judging. I am just saying the economics of the situation are really smarter the way I am going about it.
That was all a long way of saying that I am not anti-hunting (of course). But, getting back to the story it’s not the hunting that is the problem, it is the mindset. It seems that the act of killing gives the hunter’s power. The more perceived power that they gain, the more careless they become with their other activities. This I think is the message in the chapter.
Maybe Golding is an evil genius and I am just a dope? But again, I think that he touches on a subject that is much deeper than the words on the page. If we take the 3rd party analysis at face value then this is a story of the ills of humanity and civilization. I don’t think that he intended to go this deep so hopefully I am not reading too much into it.
To me, the hunters are a metaphor for societies’ elites. They do as they please without consequences. To be honest, I am not sure what kind of punishment could happen within the book with a group of young kids. Nevertheless, they don’t seem to have any concern about being rescued, building shelters or participating in any other way except on their own terms.
This is where the problem lies within the concept of anarchy and this story. In a proper stateless society, individuals would choose to associate based on their beliefs and values. The shelter builders would congregate and the hunters would congregate and the two would stay their separate ways. I really doesn’t work when marooned on an island with nowhere to go.
Even more so, I think that this speaks to the mentality of the elites. There doesn’t seem to be anything wrong with the way things are if I get to do what I want to do. I am going to wade in the water just a little bit deeper now.
Using an example, when someone like a former software founder gets involved in something like estate taxes, he could be all for the 1970s 90% rules. This is because his personal assets are sheltered in some manner. The reality is that when he dies, the likelihood that everything is going to evaporate into taxes are low. Of course, it wont be zero but it will be much less than my second example.
If someone was a successful, sole-proprietor with assets in the $5 million range were to die under the same tax rules it would essentially leave $500,000 to distribute as a result. Why is that? Because the sole-proprietor is not operating under the same rules as my software tycoon above. It is not that the two couldn’t, not at all but that elites have more resources to create hoops for others to jump through. Why do we need estate taxes at all? I haven’t read in the Constitution that the United States is entitled to any portion of my estate.
Hopefully, I made my point using one silly example that the hunters are becoming societies’ elite. When the elite prosper, there is no reason to petition for new changes unless they are to solidify their position. As long as it is no bother to work around, ignore or rules have no consequences then what does it matter?
End Your Programming Routine: I think that I almost got lost on this one. I was trying to get across the rise of the hunter’s social status and how there behavior is a natural consequence of their self perception. Once established, it also becomes self-fulfilling because what is to stop them?
I really had high hopes of doing more gardening in my life. My dad probably has 2000 square feet of productive garden (most years) that we grew up hating because it seemed like our summer days were spent weeding. Later in life, after buying produce for a number of years and realizing how poor it really was, I changed my tune.
I spent half of 2010 in China, I probably averaged 50% overtime in 2011 and 2012, I spent half my time on the road. I got a really big bonus and I decided to spend a tiny bit of it building a garden. This was the yang to my yin, something manual and about the earth not about computers and technology.
The first two years, I had a pretty good yield, but then my interests started wandering. Maybe it wasn’t my interests but the pull of life and work. Left to my own devices, I think that I would do much better. But, you have to realize your limitations. The last time I put in any serious effort was in 2019 when I was home all summer because I wasn’t working. I built an irrigation system to try and do better. I found that I was more interested in building the irrigation system than growing things. For what I had planted, I did OK.
I have said this before but for me, growing things is about experimentation. I have tested a lot of boundaries over the years. For instance, I tried to start some seeds earlier this year, but I put them in a cold frame style with temperatures in the 70s. I think that they got cooked outside.
If I was ultimately concerned about yield, I would just copy what works, buy starts of the long leader plants and provide continuous care. Part of what motivated me to build an irrigation system was because I want to put in minimal effort. Unfortunately, I tore out my garden beds the next near because of my construction expansion, so all of that work went to waste.
I have waffled around on where to build the next garden because or our sell/not sell proposition. We are ultimately going to sell but it is a matter of when, probably two years. So, I am not prone to invest a lot into building soil, or anything related to something that I will not gain a return.
Hence, I bought two tomato starts for a total of $4. My plan is to nurture these to their best potential this year. I planted in this same spot last year and I got a dozen or so small tomatoes. This year is more about me proving to myself that I do not have a black thumb. Because as much as I like pushing the limits, I am a little discouraged at my near total lack of success.
I am already starting at t disadvantage. There is a concept in permaculture where you zone your property. Zone 1 is somewhere you go multiple times a day. Zone 2 is somewhere you would go once a day. Zone 3 is used but sometimes by animals or infrequently. It goes on to Zone 5. But, I would say that my garden is in Zone 2/3 and that has always been the case.
I keep the potted plants on the deck alive and prospering because I walk past them twenty times a day. I make it a point to water every night and I notice that they are wilted and even need water in the middle of the day. My garden, not so much. There have been times when I go weeks without even walking out to it because it is out of sight.
**Tip** If you are like me, get your garden as close to your zone 1 as possible so you don’t do like me and say that you will do it tomorrow. Pretty soon, several days go by and those problems compound. So, despite where I put the tomatoes, I am going to try and change my habits to make them prosper, despite my tendencies.
End Your Programming Routine: I would definitely write more about gardening if I did more of it. I want to do more of it, but time is hard. Last night, I spent several hours staining the deck and it was almost dark when I came in. My dedication to those home projects takes priority over all the other things, including gardening when it comes to this season and that is just the way it is. We all have skills and priorities, it is how we choose to spend them. Some day, I might have the time to do all the things I want to do.
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